Schneider Poll Shows Him Even With Dold

Survey of 400 likely voters shows both candidates with 39 percent support.


A poll released by the campaign of shows him deadlocked with in the race for the seat in the Nov. 6 general election.

Prepared by the Washington based Normington Petts, the survey of 400 likely voters shows Dold and Schneider with 39 percent of the vote each with 22 percent undecided. There is a 4.9 percent margin of error, according to the memo provided by the pollster.

After asking the respondents their preference, people were then given one statement of information about both Schneider and Dold and asked for their preference again, according to Jill Normington of Normington Petts.

After hearing the information, Schneider had the support of 48 percent of those sampled, Dold was preferred by 41 percent and only 11 percent remained uncertain.

People were told Dold is in his first term in the House of Representatives, operated a successful small business before running for Congress, favors a tax policy that will help create jobs, wants to see less government spending and tried to work with Democrats among other things, according to Normington.

Schneider, respondents were told, wants to help small business and middle class people be successful, according to Normington. He also wants to preserve Medicare and protect the environment.

According to Normington, respondents were told both candidates intend to preserve a women’s right to choose, live with their families on the North Shore and have an MBA from Northwestern University.

Of the 400 likely voters selected, Normington concentrated on people who voted in the 2004 and 2008 Presidential elections taking 64.5 percent from the remaining parts of the former District, 30.5 percent from those who were formerly in the 8th District and five percent from the section that was once part of the 9th.

“There are approximately 100,000 less people who vote in non Presidential years,” Normington said.

Representatives of the Dold campaign did not respond to questions from Patch before deadline.

Louis G. Atsaves May 30, 2012 at 11:06 AM
So this was a partisan push poll of selected voters sampled from only presidential election years wherein the one candidate who voters were told favored support of the middle class, medicare and the environment suddenly surged in the polling? And the result is being played up as shocking? I hope Schneider wasted plenty of his cash on this nonsense.
RB May 30, 2012 at 12:09 PM
Mr. Dold's new found 'moderate' stance is a ploy. The Republican machine allows some moderate votes if they either have enough right wing votes that Mr. Dold's vote does not matter or their position is such a lost cause that they allow Mr. Dold to vote moderately. Old shop worn campaign tactic. When push comes to shove, Mr. Dold will do whatever Mr. Boehner and Cantor want or worst yet, he'll vote with the Freshmen block and tie the Government in a knot again. Good to see that Mr. Schneider is building a base to make Mr. Dold a one term 'wonder'.
marco sangria May 30, 2012 at 12:55 PM
I would agree with Mr Atsaves as well. The poll sounds so scientific that they got what they paid for - skewed results. As for RB's comments the Dems will be fast, furious and take no prisoners to get control of another seat. Do you really think Mr Schneider will have no favors to pay back? puhleeeeezzzzzzz
RB May 30, 2012 at 01:03 PM
My comments were not so much about the poll, the results are okay, but it's a poll and those are fairly unreliable at this stage. That does not change the fact that in order to garner Tea Party votes, Mr. Dold signed a pledge to Grover Norquist. He now must fear a negative reaction from Norquist! So he's stuck with a pledge to never ever support new revenue, a necessary component of budget and tax reform. He sold his soul, and now wants to appear 'moderate'. He is not. the tenth can't afford a Representative who gave up all his bargaining chips as Mr. Dold did with his pledge to Grover Norquist.
Louis G. Atsaves May 30, 2012 at 01:19 PM
The Republican Machine? You Democrats are so ingrained with the Michael Madigan style of legislating that you think everyone else does it the way you Democrats behave. Fact is Mr. Boehner's problems in keeping "the troops in line" in the House are very well documented, which blows your Republican Machine and "he votes as he is told or allowed to vote" statements to high heaven. The last election in 2010 populated the House of Representatives with a whole bunch of free thinkers who are actually acting like Congressmen, and not like robots who are told to vote a certain way by their leaders. Those of us who know Dold personally also know that your theory that Mr. Dold does as he is told is a pile of horse manure. Clearly RB you want to be represented by a puppet on a string. If that is the case, then Schneider is your man!
RB May 30, 2012 at 01:49 PM
Puppet on a string? That would be Mr. Dold and the puppet master is Mr. Norquist!
RB May 30, 2012 at 01:53 PM
Mr. Atsaves, I am simply stating the facts about his pledging to never ever raise new revenue via his allegiance to Mr. Norquist which he pledged before he took the oath of office as a Representative of the tenth. He can't even compromise when he's tied to that pledge, which he refuses to renounce. I want someone who is Independent of Mr. Norquist and that would be Mr. Schneider.
John Utah May 30, 2012 at 05:22 PM
RB - higher taxes don't equal higher revenue. If you want to raise new revenue, then lower taxes.
Louis G. Atsaves May 30, 2012 at 07:29 PM
RB, if you want new revenue, then put more people back to work who will in turn pay taxes on their paychecks. Demanding higher taxes and more government spending isn't a sure fire way of fixing things. Dold isn't refusing to raise revenues for government. Dold is refusing to raise taxes in order to raise those revenues. From your multiple Norquist postings these past few months, it is clear that concept escapes you.
RB May 30, 2012 at 07:29 PM
John, trickle down does not work. We've had years of it and a deficit to show for it.
RB May 30, 2012 at 08:09 PM
Louis, it also escapes most economists. Your wrong about the pledge, it is more restrictive than you have said. This budget deficit can't be lowered without new revenue generated by tax reform that includes tax increases for some individuals, tax decreases possibly for others, closing of loopholes and special tax subsidies, and a net gain in total revenue. The pledge won't even allow him to remove loopholes without an offsetting taxcut. Also, budget cuts are required and I never advocated additional spending (putting words in my mouth, Louis) so where you dreamed that up may be the same place that you came up with the fact that his pledge to Grover Norquist is A OK to the voters of the tenth district. Nope, not okay. His pledge should have been to the district. Joe Walsh and you think it's okay, not me. He is hamstrung by the pledge and nothing escapes me about the pledge. It is serious business. I want a Congressman willing to compromise so we can get out of this budget mess. Mr. Dold has said he will not compromise over taxes, in fact he signed a pledge never to. He's wrong to do that, but I don't call him a liar, I take him at his word. So there, stuck until we elect someone willing to compromise, since Mr. Dold refuses to renounce his pledge. It's gonna take tax reform and spending cuts.
RB May 30, 2012 at 08:14 PM
Louis, also....why don't you find what former Republican Senator Alan Simpson said about Grover Norquist and his pledge the other day. You may remember Mr. Simpson, he was a Republican before the party was hijacked by the tea party and Mr. Norquist. I think he now says he's a Republican in name only. Thats a shame. No longer the party of Lincoln, that's for sure.
Daniel Nussbaum May 30, 2012 at 10:13 PM
This article (or maybe it was a different one) showed that the polling agency took the blurb on Dold straight from his actual policy on his website. In other words, if people switched to brad its because they like his message better not because its a push poll.
Ellen Beth Gill May 30, 2012 at 11:35 PM
We are already swimming in tax cuts, and no increased revenues or jobs.
RB May 30, 2012 at 11:56 PM
Mr. Dold voted against the debt ceiling increase, Voted for cut, cap and balance and the balanced budget amendment. As we approach the end of the year, several key votes will be needed to keep the economy from falling off a cliff. It will be interesting to see what Mr Dold does. Based upon his performance during the debt ceiling crisis, we'll see a party line economy busting vote from Mr. 'moderate'. I hope he really has changed his stripes for the country first. Now, about that Norquist pledge.....
Louis G. Atsaves May 31, 2012 at 02:28 AM
RB, yes Mr. Dold voted against the debt ceiling increase. Thank goodness for that! No moderate in his right mind would vote differently. Obama just wants to keep spending, spending and spending. Schneider has yet to renounce such crazy spending. Talk about irony? During his first campaign Obama bitterly complained about his daughters being saddled with massive government debt. He has since piled onto his daughters' debt in an out of control fashion. During the Obama administration there has been no budget and out of control spending during a period of time of revenue declines from high unemployment and other government revenue losses. And to answer Ms. Gill, ending tax cuts and raising taxes is no solution. Look at the panic in Springfield now when expected revenues didn't materialize and spending continued to increase while our unemployment rate is higher than the national average. Get people back to work. Create jobs. Create taxpayers. And stop creating phony polls!
RationalTht May 31, 2012 at 03:31 PM
With all the gerrymandering the democrats did, I am surprised Dold is doing that well.
A. M. Kelly June 04, 2012 at 02:26 PM
John Utah...Of course higher taxes equal higher revenue, and it is much needed, especially from the Billionaires and Giant corporations, who, with the help of their toadies in the Republican Party, have been dodging them for years. They are clearly not paying their fair share, and some, like Warren Buffett and author Steven King have admitted it. How can you to justify a man of Mitt Romney's wealth paying less than 14% in taxes when the middle class pays up to THIRTY EIGHT percent?...How do you justify a company like GE, who made 14 BILLION in profit last year, paying ZERO in taxes?... You know, there's this strange concept; It's called "fairness". Like sanity and a middle class, we used to have it in this country. That, of course, was before corporate toadies like Norquist and Fox News propagandized the clueless into voting against their own interests. This country was at it's PEAK when, under Republican president Eisenhower, the super rich paid ninety one percent of their income in taxes. At that point America was the envy of the world; We had the highest number of college graduates and the LARGEST middle class on the planet. After decades of Republican "trickle down" economics we now have the SMALLEST in the world, and rank about thirty seventh in education. What frustrates is this: No one is even ASKING for a return to that high a tax rate..We only want a return to the rate under Clinton, which was only FOUR points higher than what we have now.
A. M. Kelly June 04, 2012 at 02:34 PM
Louis G. Atsaves, if you really want to "put more people back to work" tell the obstructionist Republicans to pass President Obama's Jobs Bill. Tell them, in other words, to stop keeping millions of Americans out of jobs for the sole purpose of getting Obama out of HIS.
A. M. Kelly June 04, 2012 at 02:45 PM
Thank you, Ellen Beth, that is exactly the situation. It's hard to believe that people still swallow the "job creator" bs, when those promoting that line, not only didn't "create jobs" while avoiding taxes, they removed them by crashing the economy! It shouldn't take a rocket scientist to figure out that if more than ten years of tax cuts for those "job creators" worked, we'd now be SWIMMING in jobs!
A. M. Kelly June 04, 2012 at 02:49 PM
Oh please, RationalTht -- As I'm sure you know, the Republicans do, and have done, the same thing when they win elections.


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